Cleveland at Detroit

Am I crazy? Maybe. But I'm taking a shot here. Cleveland has absolutely dominated the Pistons in the first three games, winning by an average of 14 points per game. LeBron has been unstoppable, averaging 32 points per game. The betting public has cashed in on their bets on Cleveland three straight times. So what happens? The line gets juiced beyond reason. In game three, Detroit was paying +175 on the  moneyline. This game, with the same players on the same floor, has a line of over double that! Are they really over twice as likely to lose this game? I in fact think the Pistons have a BETTER chance of winning this than winning game three. This is their last hurrah. This is their last chance to let any pride show through. This same team was down 1-2 going into game four last year and won. Head coach Michael Curry noted that saying "I fully believe that we're going to take care of home court and win." Granted, this is a very tall order. But if there's a time for a letdown by the Cavs, this is it, given how easy it's been thus far. This season and last, this Cavs team is just 5-11 straight up on the road after holding an opponent to 80 points or less. Should Cleveland win here? Yes. But this line represents tremendous value and I think there's a chance that Detroit circles the wagons.