Cleveland at Cincinnati

Cleveland is great at home, but has a losing road record. They come into Cincinnati with a weak starter in Mitch Talbot (2-4, 4.96 ERA) and he’s been getting worse, with a 7.04 ERA his last three starts averaging just five innings. In this 15 innings pitched he’s allowed 20 hits, 6 walks and 12 runs! The Indians are also 2-5 his last seven starts and this is the end of a nine-game road trip for the Indians. The Indians are 9-24 in their last 33 games as an underdog. Their offense faces a good starter in Mike Leake (7-4, 3.89 ERA), a guy Cleveland has never faced before. And this Reds’ offense is strong, fourth in runs scored, sixth in OBP and 10th in slugging. The Reds are 4-1 in Leake’s last five starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200 and the home team should roll. Play the Reds.