Cincinnati at St. Louis

The St. Louis Cardinals are 9-0 when Chris Carpenter is on the mound and is favored by -200 or more. Normally, I don't like laying such a large wood on a team this early, yet when we can pick up a few units here and there in the right situations in the long grind of the baseball season. The Cards are 7-1 at home versus a team with a winning record and 26-5 in Carpenter's last 31 starts overall. Carpenter is 4-1 in his last 5 starts versus the Reds while Harang is 1-4 in his last five vs. St. Louis. Cincinnati is 2-10 in their last 12 versus right hander pitchers and Harang's early troubles this year with over an 8 era. Cincy owns a paltry 2-11 record when Harang is on the mound against winning teams. Let's ride the numbers and the strong trends favoring the Cards, at home, with their ace facing a struggling team and pitcher.