Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

The Cincinnati Reds' 3-18 start to the season, put out on full display the fact that this team has nowhere near the talent to be a playoff caliber team. The Pirates are getting their swagger back after a really bad stretch of their own, and have the energy of a pair of wins, and coming in one game under .500 offers additional incentive to get back to .500. History is on the side of the Pirates as a team that has won two straight games, and playing as a home favorite to become a .500 team, against a team that has a losing record are 95-51 with an ROI of +8.8% over the last 14 years. The Pirates own a 26.2% ROI on the season vs. poor teams, who are below .400 on the season. Make the play on Pittsburgh.