2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 30, 2007
Cincinnati at Miami
Sunday 12/30 01:00 PM Eastern
5 units on Miami +3 (-120) (risk 5 to return 5) RESULT: LOSS
Why in the world would Cincinnati even show up for this game? They played their Superbowl last week. We were on the Bengals in part because they have a heated rivalry with Cleveland, and anything they could do to serve as a spoiler in that contest they did. This week we'll fade them as we don't think they will show up for this game. It isn't any type of rivalry, and how does Cincy get up for the lowly Dolphins? After Miami put one in the win column vs. Baltimore, the stigma of losing to Miami is now gone. Miami is still playing hard, and they have already clinched the top draft pick (not affected by outcome of this game). With Bill Parcells hovering and making evaluations, you can be sure to see maximum effort here. The Bengals are getting all the action, but Miami is the team that has played hard all season. December home underdogs coming off a road blowout loss of 14+ points are 56-25 (69%) ATS since 1983. Miami should win this game outright but we'll take the insurance points.