This pick was released to clients on July 25, 2012 at 5:32PM ET.
img NFL

Cincinnati at Kansas City

January 1, 2006
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Game Total UNDER 46 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN

OK, let's face it. Neither of these teams will have anything to play for here. Cincinatti wrapped up the AFC North weeks ago and threw away their shot at a first round bye by losing last week. KC would need a win by Denver (11 point dogs) and a win by Detroit (13.5 point dogs) to have something to play for here. Not going to happen. Even with Carson Palmer playing in this one (probably won't), I like the UNDER. Kansas City is coming off a very emotionally tough win over San Diego last week. With nothing to play for here, I expect their normally potent offense to be a bit flat. Cincinnati's defense was torched last week by, of all teams, Buffalo. As a result, they'll be playing hard in this one to end the season on a good note. Games with a total of 42.5 to 49 points in the last two weeks of the regular season, featuring a team off a win against a division rival (KC over SD) have gone UNDER 23-4 (85%) over the last 10 seasons! Two stars on the UNDER.

TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NFL picks and predictions.

Join 424,775 Subscribers!