2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 30, 2012
Cincinnati at Jacksonville
Sunday 09/30 04:05 PM Eastern
3 units on Jacksonville PICK () (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
There are more bettors getting down on Cincinnati this week than any other game on the Sunday card. Over 85% of the public money is on the 2-1 Bengals as they clearly don't believe in the Jags. The public also loves high-powered offenses and with Cincy putting up 28 points per game, compared to 17 per game for Jacksonville, this is an easy choice for the squares. The Bengals are 2-1, but they sure don't look like a team that is going to maintain that kind of winning percentage. Cincy's defense is near the bottom of the league, having given up 34 points per game! They are allowing an un-playoffs like 155 yards per game on an unthinkable 5.8 yards per carry. The Jaguars are built to exploit that weakness with Jones-Drew in the backfield. After sitting out all of training camp, he has emerged better than ever, rushing for 314 yards on 59 carries for 5.3 yards a pop. Blaine Gabbert has not been great, but he's been efficient with 4four touchdowns and has yet to throw an INT. He may have a breakout game here as the Bengals’ defense can't stop the pass either allowing a 106.7 QB rating to their opponents through three weeks. While the win/loss column reads 2-1 for the Bengals, they have been out-gained from the line of scrimmage on the season. That isn't the type of team you typically want to back as a road favorite. The Bengals are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven after allowing 30 or more points in their previous game. Jacksonville is also out to revenge a 30-20 loss to the Bengals last year. Play on Jacksonville in this one.