Cincinnati at Green Bay

After playing the great defenses of the Ravens and Texans, Cincinnati gets to face the rebuilding Green Bay secondary. Cincinnati has a new offensive coordinator this week and is 20-8 OVER the total after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game. There is talent on this offense and they get to face a Green Bay secondary that was second worst against the pass last season. NFL road teams off an upset loss as a home favorite in the first half of the season are 79-40 OVER the total that next game. The Packers added some secondary help through the draft, or so they thought, but come off a defensive disaster at Atlanta, allowing 34 points, 223 yards passing and 141 yards rushing. Green Bay is on an 8-1 run OVER the total, as well as 12-4 OVER in September. At least the Packers have a dynamite offense behind QB Aaron Rodgers, with three outstanding wide receivers and new TE Martellus Bennett. Green Bay is also 59-37 OVER the total off a road loss. Back the OVER in this one.