Cincinnati at Chicago

It is hard to dispute the Cubs success at home this season where they have taken down opponents to the tune of a 46-17 mark and are also 26-8 against teams that are below .500. Those 26 wins include a record of 20-6 to the -1.5 runline. The Reds have unloaded the middle of their lineup, making deals that shipped out Ken Griffey Jr. and Adam Dunn. What is left has been just 5-17 over the last 22 games and has been outscored 131-75, or by an average of 2.6 runs a game. With the Cubs wheeling an ace out to the mound, we will ride the runline in this one.