Cincinnati at Chicago

This is the end of a dismal, seven-game road trip for Cincinnati. They are ranked #15 in runs scored and #21 in slugging. Starter Homer Bailey (1-11, 6.21 ERA) is having a train wreck season with batters hitting .309 off him. He has an 11.57 ERA against the Cubs this season, and the team is 6-22 when Bailey faces a team with a winning record. The Reds have been outscored 24-9 the last four games, all losses. Chicago is on a roll, ranked ninth in runs scored, No. 1 in on-base percentage, and #11 in slugging. Starter Kyle Hendricks throws best at home with batters hitting .248 off him at Wrigley. The Cubs are 39-13 at home versus a team with a losing record and should win this by more than one run. Play Chicago on the runline.