Cincinnati at Chicago

The Chicago Cubs are really struggling on offense, as they have generated just a single run over their last three games. The typical bettor will look at those numbers and immediately deem them as a loser in their next contest. The problem with that logic is that it hasn't had logical results. Teams that scored less than 2 runs in their previous three games are actually 38-35 straight-up with an ROI of 10% over the last nine years. The Reds have really struggled vs. right-handed pitching where they are just 4-11 in their last 15 facing them. As a favorite over their last 10 instances posted as one, they have bit the bullet at 2-8. This home dog has some teeth, so play on the Cubs in this one.