img HORSE

CHURCHILL DOWNS Race #7

May 29, 2020
img4:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #8 (HOG CREEK HUSTLE) (4-1) - This colt drops in class after competing in a dozen straight stakes. He won the G1 Woody Stephens at Belmont just under a year ago, then missed by a 'nose' in the H. Allen Jerkens (G1) at Saratoga. One run type likes this distance (3-2-1-0), has won here in the past, and Joel Rosario is abord for this attempt.

2nd pick: #6 (Home Base) (12-1) - Freshened up for the past two months, this longshot raced evenly last out in a Gulfstream stakes at this trip March 28. A winner there of a six-furlong stakes in his previous attempt, this 5yo has won twice here in the past and is four for eight lifetime at this seven-furlong distance.

3rd pick: #10 (Early Mischief) (10-1) - The main speed, he's been very sharp in four straight while facing weaker. He won two of three this past winter at the Fair Grounds and enters this off a pace-setting 2nd place finish at Oaklawn April 17. This is his first attempt at this distance, but he's dangerous at a big price if able to get an early uncontested lead.

4th pick: #2 (Absolutely Aiden) (8-1) - He ships from Oaklawn where he was a sharp winner when facing a bit weaker going six furlongs April 10. He's won five of 10 overall, is two for three at Churchill, and is capable of factoring at a big price.

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