img HORSE

CHURCHILL DOWNS Race #12

May 1, 2015
img6:20 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Top pick: #4 (LUNAR GAZE) (6-1) - Well bred filly had a useful debut at the Fair Grounds March 20th. She had some traffic issues when finishing fourth of 12, beaten 5 1/2 lengths. Freshened up since, she's working fast and trainer Tom Amoss (31% second time out) sends her an extra furlong.

2nd pick: #8 (Titfortat) (15-1) - Longshot was competitive in her first pair sprinting on the turf at the Fair Grounds. She raced evenly despite some serious traffic issues in her dirt debut at Keeneland April 4th. Think she's very dangerous and at a big price.

3rd pick: #1 (Paid Up Subscriber) (3-1) - Well backed in her debut April 4th at Keeneland, she rallied to finish third going 6-furlongs. She had some problems that afternoon and has worked fast since. In the win mix.

4th pick: #11 (Sierra Squall) (10-1) - Price play has been freshened up since being competitive in two of three earlier this year at Gulfstream. Lasix is added, she's working fast, and draws a god post at this distance.,

5th pick: #14 (Kissed by a Rose) (15-1) - Filly stretches out in distance after missing by a 'neck' when debuting at Tampa Bay Downs going 5.5-furlongs April 9th. In a high percentage barn and 4-year-old can't be eliminated.

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