Chicago at Cincinnati

The Chicago Cubs lost 49 games on the road last year and I don't see anything about this club that says they will improve upon that this season. Early returns show them at 3-7 on the road to start 2012 and Jeff Samardzija has been hit hard on the road allowing five runs in each of his two road starts. Bronson Arroyo has shaken off a bad first start and has come back to allow just four total runs in his last three starts, while the Red's bats start to heat up, having produced 54 runs over their last ten games, good for 5.4 a contest. The Reds own a big 18-7 mark in their last 25 as a home favorite, while the weak Cubs road show has been 2-8 in their last ten trips to Cincy. Play on Cincinnati.