Chicago at Cincinnati

We have been on this guy most of the season, and again see some huge value backing him. Aaron Harang has been a difference maker for the Reds when he toes the rubber. The Reds are now 17-5 (77.2%), when Harang takes his turn in the rotation, and winners of nine straight. The Reds are also 28-54 (34.1%) when he doesn't get the ball. The 43.1% change in winning percentage is the highest in MLB. The Reds have been a hot team, as they have won 4-of-5 on this home stand, and have now gone 8-1 in their last nine home games, eight of which have been against .500+ teams. The Cubs were hot for a longtime, and now have dropped two in a row, and 4-of-6. The offense has managed just three runs a game over the last week. We ride Harang once again, especially at basically even odds at home, where the Reds have been beating everyone.