Chicago at Milwaukee

The last place Chicago Cubs play their third straight road game and they are awful (4-10) away from Wrigley Field. They've been awful the last two days in this park, getting beat 8-7 and 7-2. The Cubs play their home games in a hitter-friendly park, like this one, but their offense is bad, No. 27 in runs scored, No. 24 in on-base percentage and No. 26 in slugging. Starter Jeff Samardzija has a good record and ERA, but he's been great at home and terrible on the road with a 6.06 road ERA where opponents are hitting .313 off him. The Cubs are 21-46 in their last 67 games as a road underdog and 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Milwaukee has a winning home record and beats up on bad teams. The Brewers are 15-5 in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Starter Marco Estrada is winless but is throwing well, allowing fewer hits than innings pitched along with a 23-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 24 innings. The Brewers are 60-28 in their last 88 home games and the Cubs are 1-11 in the last 12 meetings in Milwaukee. Play the Brewers.