This pick was released to clients on February 12, 2013 at 6:17PM ET.
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Chicago at Kansas City

July 31, 2006
img8:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Chicago -206 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2.97)
Result:
WIN

The Sox are struggling and know they need to win games like this to keep their hopes alive. History is on their side. Good teams (54% or better) that have won 2 of their last 3 games, playing a terrible team (38% or worse) are 188-74 (72%) over the last 5 seasons. Chicago goes with Jose Contreras (9-3, 3.52 ERA) here as KC starts Runelvys Hernandez (2-5, 6.80 ERA). In his last three starts, Hernandez has given up 12 earned runs in 4.3 innings. Ouch! In the second half of the season the last two seaons, Contreras is 18-4 vs. teams that score 4.7 or less runs per game. Despite their struggles in the win column, Chicago is still hitting very well scoring 6 runs per game over their lastr seven games. They put up 5.7 per game on the season on the road and should be able to hit Hernandez a lot more than KC will hit Contreras.

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