Central Michigan at Tennessee State

Tennessee State has had some bad teams over the years, but despite the 3-6 record this one is much better. They have played a very tough schedule facing Belmont and Middle Tennessee - perhaps two of the top mid-majors in the country as well as North Carolina, South Carolina and St. Louis. It makes them look worse than they are. At 4-3 Central Michigan has won vs. some very poor teams to date, and have a very poor track record on the road vs. a home team with a winning percentage greater than .600, where they are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine. This team is also 9-24-3 ATS in their last 36 as a dog. Go with Tennessee State here.