Buffalo at Los Angeles

Despite allowing 5 goals in their last home game to San Jose, who is just punishing everyone, the Kings have allowed just 19 goals at home in their previous nine, or just about 2 per game. The home team has delivered the winner in 12 of the last 14 in this series, and the Sabres have won here just once in their last six trips. The Kings’ 11-2 mark after a big loss by 3 goals or more says that they tighten things up here. The Kings are 10-5 this season vs. teams at .600 or better and 10-4 vs. good defensive teams since last season (teams allowing fewer than 2.5 goals per game). I like LA here.