2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 04, 2012
Buffalo at Houston
Sunday 11/04 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER PICK (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: WIN
It wasn't that long ago that the Houston Texans were known as an offensive team that couldn't play defense. That has changed over the last couple of years as this is now one of the best defensive teams in the league thanks to Wade Phillips. They currently rank No. 3 in fewest yards allowed, and they are one of five teams allowing less than 200 yards per game in the air in the pass-happy NFL. The Houston offense has been pretty consistent, producing 23 or more points in every game this season. The defense has allowed 17 or fewer points in five of their seven games, with only two opposing QBs navigating successfully through it in Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers. The Bills offense has played well vs. cupcake defenses like Kansas City, New England and Tennessee. But, they have really struggled vs. good defenses resulting in a total of 22 points scored vs. San Francisco and Arizona. Ryan Fitzpatrick has also had too many drive-burning turnovers with nine INTs on the season. Bufflao will really struggle to find the end zone in this game. The Bills have found ways to work in some things defensively off a bye week, having gone 10-3 to the UNDER in their last 13 after a bye. The Texans have now gone 9-1 to the UNDER after scoring 30+ in their previous game. As this team transitions to consistent defense, and no longer relies on big numbers from the offense. Play the UNDER.