Buffalo at Denver

These teams started out the season getting a lot of ink and even Super Bowl talk. But that talk certainly faded from the Bills camp as a 5-1 start became a 1-7 disaster. The Bills have walked a fine line with a small margin of error. Early on, they found ways to win but lately they have found themselves in situations where they find ways to lose. The Bills have been in just about every game they play. During this 1-7 streak, they have lost six of the seven games by 10 points or less, and their largest loss has been 13 points. They are hanging around every game, so the points are enticing here. After a 38 ppg start in the first three games, the Denver offense has been greatly reduced and inconsistent. They have not even reached that 38 point mark once since then. And in eight of their eleven games, they have scored less than 20. The odds-makers have consistently made them a bigger favorite, especially at home, than they should be and it has resulted in them not covering a single game all season at home. They have not covered a game all season, home or away as a favorite of more than three points where they are 0-7 ATS. As I mentioned in my recent blog on lucky NFL teams, Denver could very well be 6-8 right now instead of 8-6. I like the Bills who have been in every game they have played, against a continually overrated Denver team.