Buffalo at Cincinnati

Buffalo is one of the surprise teams this year as the Bills have a 3-1 record, including wins over Denver and Atlanta. Tyrod Taylor was 12-of-20 for 182 yards and the Bills forced three turnovers in their 23-17 win at Atlanta as an eight-point underdog. Buffalo is taking advantage of Taylor's running and passing skills especially on play-action and run formations. The defense has been the story though for Buffalo, which is ranked ninth in yards allowed and tops in the NFL in points allowed with just 13.5 per game, which is the reason the posted total for this matchup is low. The Bills actually have gone OVER six of their last eight games against AFC teams and five of their last seven versus teams with losing records. Cincinnati won its first game of the season 31-7 at Cleveland as Andy Dalton threw four touchdown passes and finished 25-of-30 for 286 yards and he now has six TDs and no interceptions his last two games. The Bills, however, are 4-0 ATS and it's difficult to lay points with the Bengals whose only win was against the hapless Browns. Taylor and Dalton have the capacity to put this game OVER and Buffalo is gaining confidence with each passing week. Play the Bills and the OVER.