Buffalo at Ball State

The Bulls roll in here with a 17-5 record that includes a 9-3 mark on the road and a 9-1 record in-conference. Ball State is just 5-5 in conference play and they have dropped four of their last five. They are scoring a paltry 57 points per game on the season. Buffalo has held their last five opponents to just 52.8 per game, so expect Ball to really struggle on offense here. Ball State has really struggled recently at home against good teams like Buffalo as they are 0-7 ATS the past two season vs. teams that are outscoring their opponents by 4+ points per game. And, they are 1-9 ATS vs. teams that hold opponents to under 43% from the field (Buffalo allows 42%). The Bulls are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a small road favorite of 6 or less. I like them to get it done here.