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Boston at Chicago

April 29, 2012
img2:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Chicago +110 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
WIN

Chicago is a good pitcher's park, as we saw yesterday in a 1-0 Boston win. After a brutal start the semblance of order in the Red Sox bullpen has calmed things down considerably. The Sox bullpen has pitched 15 2/3 innings on this road trip so far. They’ve allowed 10 hits, but only one run with three walks, and have 13 strikeouts. Boston righty Josh Beckett takes the hill and in his last three starts he has a 2.57 ERA. The UNDER is 13-3-3 in Beckett's last 19 starts with four days of rest and 8-3-1 UNDER the total in his last 12 road starts against a team with a losing record. In addition, the UNDER is 14-6-1 in Beckett's last 21 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Chicago has a quality starter in Gavin Floyd who has a 3.60 ERA fanning 22 in 25 innings with only 16 hits allowed. The UNDER is 6-2 in the White Sox's last eight games as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 6-0-1 UNDER the total in Floyd's last seven starts overall. Floyd is 6-0 with a 3.47 ERA against Boston going 5-1 UNDER the total in his last six starts against the Red Sox. Play the UNDER. In addition, Boston is on a six-game win streak, but that brought them to .500, so this team still has problems and holes, stuck in last place in the AL East. A closer look finds that the win streak has three one-run games in it, so they haven't dominated. This is a team that is still missing two starting outfielders in Jacoby Ellsbury and Carl Crawford, and Mike Aviles is a downgrade at shortstop. This is Boston's seventh straight road game and they are 2-5 in Josh Beckett's last seven starts vs. a team with a losing record. The White Sox are 9-3 in Floyd's last 12 starts as a home underdog. He is also 6-0 with a 3.47 ERA against Boston and the White Sox are 4-0 in Floyd's last four starts against them. Play the White Sox and take the UNDER.

FINAL
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Boston Red Sox
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Chicago White Sox img
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consensus consensus
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