Boston at Buffalo

Buffalo has won 6 straight games here at home in this series and 12 of the last 14. In the last two games, Boston has managed just one goal in each. Buffalo averages 3.9 goals per game at home while giving up just 2.2 over their last five games. Boston allows 3.8 per game on the road although they have played solid defense their last five games. Buffalo tends to go UNDER vs. poor teams as they are now 42-24 UNDER at home the past two sesasons vs. losing teams. Boston is just plaing awful vs. elite teams. The Bruins are a ridiculuous 1-16 on the road the past two seasons vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5+ goals per game (Buffalo has outscored opponents this year by an average of 0.9 per game overall and 1.1 per game at home). We'll take Buffalo and the UNDER here.