This pick was released to clients on October 12, 2023 at 10:06AM ET.
img CFB

Boise State at San Diego State

October 14, 2017
img10:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Boise State +7.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN

Boise State is ranked #26 in the nation in total yards allowed, including #18 in rushing defense allowing 105.8 yards on the ground per contest. The Broncos are on a 19-9 ATS run on natural grass. They've been an underdog only one other time all season and covered in a 47-44 loss at Washington State as a +7.5 dog. They got the ground game going in last week's 24-7 win over BYU and relied on the defense and special teams that have emerged as the backbone of the 2017 team. The Broncos rushed for 158 yards, held the ball for 32 minutes, 21 seconds, and scored touchdowns on drives of nine, seven and 16 plays. Meanwhile, the defense limited BYU to 238 yards and the Cougars were forced to start eight of their 11 drives at their own 25-yard line or worse because of terrific punting and kick coverage. Unbeaten San Diego State has a pair of early impressive wins over Arizona State and Stanford, but they are getting overvalued, including a close win over Northern Illinois of the MAC as -9.5 chalk. The Aztecs have failed to cover five of the last seven times against winning teams and the underdog has covered four straight when these teams clash. Grab the points and play Boise State.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Boise State Broncos img
14
7
0
10
31
San Diego State Aztecs
0
0
7
7
14
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free CFB picks and predictions.

Join 424,657 Subscribers!