Baltimore at Toronto

The Baltimore Orioles got a big win last night to stretch their AL East lead over the Toronto Blue Jays to five games. Baltimore has gotten a breakout season from Wei-Yin Chen, who is now 12-3 on the season, and has won each of his last five starts. Chen has allowed 3 runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts, and in all five of his five game winning streak. He has gotten even better of late, allowing 1 run and 10 hits over his last two starts, covering 15.1 innings of work. Drew Hutchison has not pitched well this season, but he owns a 2-0 lifetime record against Baltimore, and this season he blanked them over 7 innings, allowing 6 hits. Baltimore owns a 44-20-4 UNDER mark in their last 68 on the road as a favorite, and Chen has pitched them to a 14-6 mark to the UNDER in that same role. The Blue Jays are now 11-3 to the UNDER in Hutchinson's last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER in this one.