Baltimore at Toronto

This is a huge game for Toronto as they are four games behind Baltimore for the division lead, and they hold a slim 1.5 game lead over the KC Royals for the second Wild Card spot. This should be a great spot for them here as they will send Mark Buehrle to the mound at home, as a favorite. Buehrle has been sensational over his career in this spot, posting a nifty 102-48 mark when taking the hill as a home chalk. Those playing on him have been rewarded with a 15.3% ROI in the 150 games. He faces an inconsistent Bud Norris who over his last eight starts has often followed a good one with a bad one, and the O's have had little success when he takes the mound as a dog where they are 2-5 in his last seven. The Jays have been perfect when playing to high totals as they own a 9-0 record in their last nine with a posted total of 9 to 10.5, and are 17-5 behind Buehrle in his last 22 as a home favorite. The Birds have played UNDER the total in 10 of their last 12 games as a dog. They have also been a perfect UNDER choice in each of Norris' last seven starts, coming up shy of the total in all seven. Baltimore is also 18-7 in their last 25 within the division. Toronto owns a 31-15-2 mark to the UNDER in Buehrle's last 48 starts overall, and the as a team the Blue Jays are a remarkable 47-22-2 to the UNDER in their last 71 when facing a team over .500. Back Toronto and the UNDER in this one.