This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 11:56AM ET.
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Baltimore at Tampa Bay

July 23, 2006
img1:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Tampa Bay -112 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.79)
Result:
LOSS

Scott Kazmir as a small home favorite? Yea baby. This guy is 5-2 at home with a 2.04 ERA! He goes 7.2 innings per start. Erik Bedard is 4-5 on the road with a 5.77 ERA and he got tagged by the D-Rays earlier this season giving up 5 runs in 3 innings on June 1. Baltimore has lost four straight and they are 17-30 on the road this year. They are also 9-24 vs. left handed starters! Tampa Bay is a winning home team and they are scoring runs of late (6.0 per game over their last seven). Home favorites off an 8+ run performance facing an opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more 2 straight games are 52-17 (75%) over the last 5 seasons. And, road underdogs revenging 2 straight losses where their opponent scored 8 or more runs, with a hot starting pitcher (ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts) are only 6-32 (16%) over the past decade. Tampa here.

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