2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 25, 2012
Baltimore at San Diego
Sunday 11/25 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER 47 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8) RESULT: loss
The Baltimore Ravens bowed their backs and slugged it out as usual with the Pittsburgh Steelers last week. The Ravens survived the physical battle 13-10, and I see them playing a lot softer in this one. After duking it out with Pittsburgh last year, they allowed 26 to Tennessee and 22 against Seattle. The 22 by Seattle was the most they had scored in a month and the 26 by Tennessee was the second most they scored in the first six weeks of the season. As a result I expect the Chargers to find the end-zone on multiple occasions here. The Ravens have the offense to fight back, scoring 26.7 points per game. I think this one has the look of a shootout. The Chargers have gotten to 22 points on eight occasions this season, but have a losing record. Their defense certainly has been soft with four teams topping the 30-point mark. The Ravens are 15-7 to the OVER in their last 22 after scoring 15 or less in their previous game as the totals drop and the offense comes with renewed vigor. The Chargers have eclipsed the total in six of their last seven and under Norv Turner, this team is 17-8 to the OVER as an underdog. The OVER gets the call.