Baltimore at Boston

Will Boston get swept at home? No. Despite four straight losses, this Boston offense is potent at No. 5 in baseball in runs and batting average, and No. 4 in slugging. Baltimore starter Tommy Hunter is 2-0 at home, but has yet to win on the road where he has a 9.26 ERA and Fenway is no easy park to pitch in! This is nothing new as the last three years Hunter has a 3.40 ERA at home, but a 4.95 ERA on the road. The Red Sox are 3-1 in Clay Buchholz's last four starts. The Red Sox are 19-7 in Buchholz's last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record as well as 6-0 in his last six starts as a home favorite. Play the Red Sox. In addition, this total is too high. Baltimore is on a 9-3 run UNDER the total and the UNDER is 9-2 in the Orioles’ last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. It's get-away day on Sunday, which means umpires sometimes prefer to work fast as players, coaches and umpires have to catch flights afterward at the end of a series like this. James Hoyes is working behind the plate today and the UNDER is 41-20-2 in Hoye's last 63 games behind home plate. Clay Buchholz has a 3.26 lifetime ERA against the Orioles, too. Play Red Sox and the UNDER.