Atlanta at Pittsburgh

Sure, Atlanta has won six of seven. But, those six wins were at home. The Braves are the worst road team in the league. It's nearly mid-May and they have tallied just four road victories. When facing a line of +125 to -125 on the road, they are 1-10 this season. They are managing just 3.8 runs per game away from home while Pittsburgh gets 4.8 per contest at home and 5.9 per game vs. LHP! To make matters worse for the Braves, they start a pitcher in Chuck James who has a 7.62 ERA and who was shelled for 6 earned runs in 3 innings in his only road start. The Pirates go with Tom Gorzelanny who has had his own problems but they have won four in a row and have the offensive edge. We are going to fade the Bravos at a very reasonable line here.