Atlanta at New York

The Braves are getting only 3.7 runs per game whereas New York is averaging 4.3 per game at home. Granted, Atlanta has been getting much better pitching, which is the difference in the records for these two clubs. But today, in my opinion, that edge is not big. Tim Hudson has a .500 record and a pedestrian 5.33 ERA on the road. Over his last three starts, that figure is pushing 6. On the other hand, R.A. Dickey has been pitching very well lately, posting a 2.20 ERA over his last three starts. The Braves are 15-25 the past couple of seasons as a small road favorite of up to -125. I like the Mets at home in a very winnable game.