This pick was released to clients on October 15, 2012 at 4:01PM ET.
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Arkansas at Florida

March 11, 2007
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Arkansas +9 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS

It is easy to look at this game and say Florida is going to win by 20. Let us rewind you back to last year, though, and a similar situation. South Carolina finished their season at a mediocre 15-14. They went into the SEC tournament needing to run the table and beat Kentucky in their third game in three nights. They went on to face Florida for the Championship and an improbable NCAA bid fell short by 2 points! All you heard was how it was four games in four nights, and their legs will be gone. So what happens? The odds-makers are well aware of this so the line soars beyond what is reasonable. These are 18-21 year old kids, and sure they are tired, but they will play on the adrenlin of the situation and fatigue will not be the reason they lose. Last year in that SEC final between SC and Florida, SC was a 5 point underdog at 17-14. They had lost to Florida by 34 and 14 points in two previous games. SC not only took Florida to the wire, but they beat them by 5 points in the second half! Out of gas? It was Florida that was out of gas, not SC because they simply had more heart, and more to play for. Arkansas is in the same boat. They have played themselves likely into the NCAA tournament, but still reside on the bubble and certainly are not a guarantee. We will ride Arkansas to be in this game to the end, and an outright win is not out entirely of the question.

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