This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 12:41AM ET.
img MLB

Arizona at Tampa Bay

June 21, 2006
img7:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Arizona -135 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.48)
Result:
LOSS

Brandon Webb started off hot and has cooled. Despite two straight poor efforts against the Mets and Rangers, he's still got a 2.37 ERA and an 8-2 record. On the road he's 4-1. This is an important game for them as they don't want to drop to .500. Tampa Bay scores just 4.4 runs per game, even worse against right-handed starters. Their bullpen is awful at home (6.55 ERA). Home underdogs of +125 or more with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season that has been unusually hot (ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games) are just 19-65 (23%) since 1997. As an added bonus, home teams in games umpired by Angel Hernandez have an extremely low .500 record. Zona and Webb here.

TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free MLB picks and predictions.

Join 424,672 Subscribers!