img HORSE

AQUEDUCT Race #3

November 26, 2017
img1:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #6 (MICOZZI) (7-2) - Gelding set a pressured pace before weakening late to finish 3rd at this tag and trip Oct. 13 at Belmont. It was his first start since Feb. 11, and he came up a bit short. Claimed that afternoon by Gary Gullo, new barn (26% off the claim) brings him back at the same level, and has Paco Lopez aboard. Gets a slight edge.

2nd pick: #4 (Archrival) (2-1) - The morning line favorite, he won at this tag Sept. 22 at Belmont, but was disqualified. Stalker has finished 2nd and 3rd in his follow up pair and is an obvious win candidate here.

3rd pick: #5 (Disruptor) (3-1) - Well bred colt has early speed, is lightly raced, and is dropping into a claimer for the first time. 3yo by 'Distorted Humor' tired last out facing tougher, and this drop by trainer Chris Clement has produced 15 winners in 33 attempts (45%). That stat is too good to ignore.

4th pick: #3 (Brancato) (8-1) - Tough call as he's dropping to a new low, switches from turf to dirt, and is cutting back in distance. He's racing second back from a two-month break and second for trainer Dave Cannizzo.

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