img CFB

Alabama at Kentucky

October 3, 2009
img12:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Kentucky +16 (-110) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
LOSS

It has been a long time since Alabama has lost a regular season football game, and I don't think it will come at Kentucky. But notching a blowout is another story. The Tide boasts one of the top defenses in the country, but will be taking to the road for the first time with a raw QB in Greg McElroy and we have already seen many top 10 teams treated to a loss already this season. Kentucky fell to Florida last week at home, so they aren't likely to cause 'Bama to get up for this game. And the Tide has a huge one on deck with Ole Miss on the road. So it's plausible for the Tide to think they can get away without expending much energy here. Remember a year ago, the Wildcats went into Alabama and lost by just three points as a dog of the same amount as posted at home here for this one. Once more Kentucky is the  “Mildcats” no more as they have grabbed the money in 21 of their last 31 as a dog of 10.5 or more. When you mark them as a home dog of 10.5 or more it becomes very profitable as they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 in that situation. It looked easy last year for Alabama and it wasn't. Now the Tide must try to topple the same number on the road with a QB making his first appearance out of the comforts of home. I like the Wildcats here.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Alabama Crimson Tide img
7
14
17
0
38
Kentucky Wildcats
6
0
7
7
20
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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