This pick was released to clients on October 19, 2023 at 9:34AM ET.
img CFB

Air Force at Nevada

October 20, 2017
img9:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 67.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS

The Air Force Academy runs a lot of flexbone, similar to Army and Navy. This season they are running the ball on the ground 62 times per game vs. just 12 pass attempts per game. They are rushing for a lot of yards, but not at the rate they typically do. The Falcons average just 4.9 yards a carry vs. a schedule of teams that allow 4.8, so they have been very average. Unfortunately for them they are very poor against the run, and I would expect Nevada to run the ball more frequently, as it is where most teams have success against Air Force this season. Nevada has been pretty ordinary this season on offense, but I would expect they go from their average of 32 runs per game into the low 40s or beyond in this one. With the ball on the ground grinding out the clock, expect fewer plays and a quicker game up against a rather significantly high total. Take this one to finish UNDER.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Air Force Falcons img
7
21
7
10
45
Nevada Wolf Pack
14
6
8
14
42
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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