This pick was released to clients on September 30, 2015 at 5:31PM ET.
img CFB

Air Force at Navy

October 3, 2015
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 51 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN

This is a longtime rivalry featuring a pair of military schools that mirror each other on offense, as they both rely on the deception of the triple option. That usually works well vs. other opponents that don't see it very often, and have little time to prepare. The difference here is that both of these teams practice against the real thing every single day. That has led to the last 35 meetings showing an average of just 45 total points per game scored when these teams meet. The logic is the same when Army plays Navy as the average points scored is 42, and just 41.5 points a game when Army meets Air Force. Getting a total well into the 50s puts a lot of value on the low side of the total, so the choice is to play on the UNDER.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Air Force Falcons
0
0
3
8
11
Navy Midshipmen img
7
14
6
6
33
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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