This is the Main Event for UFC 249 lightweight division. 36-year-old Tony Ferguson is favored but was expecting to take on Khabib Nurmagomedov in this showdown. Instead, Nurmagomedov can't leave Russia due to COVID-19 travel bans. So, 31-year-old Justin Gaethje steps in with impressive credentials, ranked No. 4 in UFC with first-round knockouts in his last three outings versus James Vick, Edson Barboza, and Donald Cerrone. In his last five matches, he was an underdog three times and won twice. Gaethje has exceptional knockout power, with 18 of his 21 wins by means of KO/TKO. He also has landed a tremendous 8.5 significant strikes per minute count in UFC fights (compared to 5.51 for Ferguson). Gaethje also owns a 6-0 career record in title fights, all during his tenure with the World Series of Fighting. Play Justin Gaethje to win.