Today’s Sweet 16 Best Bets and Free March Madness Picks

March Madness picks, Sweet 16 best bets, NCAA tournament betting trends and the latest odds for all of today’s matchups.  

sweet 16 best bets, march madness picks and predictions

Bryson Williams looks to lead his Red Raiders past the No. 2 seeded Blue Devils in Sweet 16 action

Today’s Sweet 16 Matchups

One of today’s four NCAA tournament matchups feature a double-digit seed, with No. 11 Michigan looking to pull the upset and advance to the Elite Eight. In last year’s March Madness bracket, No. 11 UCLA and No. 12 Oregon State accomplished the feat, and with No. 11 Iowa State meeting No. 10 Miami on Friday, at least one double-digit seed is guaranteed to advance.

My NCAA consensus betting data shows No. 2 Villanova getting 63% of the bets, but if the first couple rounds can serve as any indication, we’re in store for a couple more shockers before this weekend is through.

Below you’ll find info on my Sweet 16 best bets, with two Thursday Max Plays on tap, plus March Madness betting trends and analysis to help guide you through the matchups.

Bracket backers are pumped, with 10 of my predictions still alive in the Sweet 16 (63%). I’m circling two big Max Plays for Thursday, looking to add to my +$6,020 monthly return. 


Sweet 16 Best Bets: Max Play Alert!

My college basketball Max Plays are on a 62% run since November, going 24-15. Today I’m looking at two big Max Plays, including one from top-seeded Gonzaga’s matchup vs. Arkansas.

(4) Arkansas vs. (1) Gonzaga
Line: Bulldogs -9.5 and O/U 155
Time: 7:09 pm ET

The Zags control the tempo like no other and they are averaging 87.5 points per game, highest among all teams in regulation. One of the perennial Sweet 16 best bets, Gonzaga has reached this stage of the tournament seven-straight times.

Arkansas is going to need a big day from its deep ball shooters, something they’ve struggled with while averaging just 27-percent from outside the arc. The Razorbacks do have a competent defense however, holding the Aggies to just 34% in the Round of 32.

Grab my Max Play on the Arkansas vs. Gonzaga matchup!

Top Sweet 16 Betting Trends

Did you know that my College Basketball Matchups & Computer Predictions are LIVE right now , with straight up, ATS and Over/Under predictions on every March Madness game? Check it out!

(11) Michigan vs. (2) Villanova
Line: Wildcats -5 and O/U 135
Time: 7:29 pm ET

Villanova held the Buckeyes to 41.2% shooting in the last round, advancing with a 71-61 win.

  • Villanova has played UNDER the total seven consecutive times following a win

Michigan is only getting 38% of the action from underdog bettors, although the Wolverines are running an impressive 9-1-1 ATS trend in their past 11 neutral site games as the dog.

Follow @wunderdogsports for March Madness betting trends, plus free picks!

(3) Texas Tech vs. (2) Duke
Line: Red Raiders -1 and O/U 137
Time: 9:39 pm ET

Texas Tech’s D is gaining national attention and rightly so. They shutdown the Irish in a 59-53 win after dismantling Montana State in a 35-point blowout. Duke’s D ranks 45th in adjusted defensive efficiency at KenPom, although the Blue Devils did score an average of 80.3 points this season (4th in ADJ O).

  • In the second half of the season, the UNDER is 42-19 (69%) when strong offensive teams that average more than 76 PPG face an average offense, following a game where the high-scoring team notched 85-plus points.

In one previous meeting between these schools, Duke won 69-58 (Dec. 20, 2018), but Texas Tech is 24-5 SU as a fave, and they are 23-15 ATS on the year. Duke won its only game as the dog this season and note that the Devs (60.5%) currently possess the top FG shooting percentage in the tournament.

(5) Houston vs. (1) Arizona
Line: Wildcats -1.5 and O/U 145
Time: 9:59 pm ET

All four remaining teams in the South — Arizona, Houston, Michigan and Villanova — are still currently alive in my March Madness bracket. The line in this contest opened at Arizona -2, jumped to -2.5 briefly, but then tightened back as dog bettors started to give Houston the respect it deserves.

  • The Cougars are 31-5 SU (.861) and 24-12 ATS this season
  • Arizona is 30-15 OVER (67%) away from home vs. teams with a win percentage of .800 or greater (second half of the season).

Houston will look to slow this game down and they play the second slowest tempo among remaining tournament teams (Nova), with Zona ranking as the quickest tempo, just ahead of Gonzaga. With a neutral court, does Houston have what it takes to topple a No. 1 seed?

Tilt the odds in your favor with Sweet 16 best bets from an expert sports handicapper!