Hockey picksMarch 20, 2021

Saturday NHL Trend Sheet

My Saturday NHL trend sheet has hockey trends and betting tips for tonight’s primetime tilts between the Rangers and Capitals, Flyers vs. Islanders and Jets vs. Oilers.

March Madness has taken the country by storm and the National Hockey League is following suit with four early starts on Saturday. In the later window, 18 more teams are dropping the puck and my Saturday NHL trend feature has the data you need to place your bets.


My 2021 NHL season has been nothing short of phenomenal, with a 60 percent hit rate since they got underway on January 13. Overall, my record is 116-76 and dime bettors have added +$21,610 to their bankroll. My 1.5-unit plays are 28-15 (65%) and 2-unit Max Plays are posted at 9-1 (90%), for +$8,270 in profit. Teams are buckling down and now is a great time to grab a piece of the action!

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Saturday NHL Trend Sheet

New York Rangers at Washington
Line: Capitals -140 and 5.5 OVER -120

The Capitals have won seven in a row, taking the first half of this divisional double header 2-1 on Friday night. Alex Ovechkin tallied twice for the East-leading Caps, extending his goal scoring streak to five straight.

New York’s offense had shown signs of life lately, capped by Wednesday’s nine-goal breakout vs. the Flyers, but on the season the Blueshirts are averaging just 2.93 goals per game (GPG), 16th in the league. Today marks the fourth meeting between these teams in the shortened 2021 season. New York took the first two down but Washington holds a 6-1 advantage in home games since 2017.

  • Home home favorites up to -150 that have won eight or more of their past 10 are 12-30 (29%), with a home record in the 60-70% range over the past 10 seasons.

Washington has thrived on this heavy-workload type of season, going 16-4 when playing their third game in five days. They are also 13-4 playing a 4-in-7. Early consensus rankings for Saturday show the Capitals at 73 percent, but with Ovechkin’s recent scoring spree, it won’t surprise me to see them climb even further throughout the day.

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Philadelphia at New York Islanders
Line: Islanders -142 and 5.5 UNDER -120

Don’t look now but the Islanders have lost back-to-back games. In what had turned into a month-long hot streak, New York gained points in 12 consecutive contests and part of this season’s success is thanks to a 12-1-2 home record.

The Flyers are a money making machine for OVER bettors this year, going 20-8 (71%), but their erratic play in the last while turns them into a coin toss play for side bettors. Today is a 3-in-4 situation for Philly and the OVER is 9-1-1 for them in this spot. The Flyers are also 12-3-1 OVER in their past 16 games vs. a winning team, making this line look suspiciously low.

  • As a home favorite, the Islanders are 14-5 with revenge the past two seasons.

For a contrarian angle, the Islanders are 15-5 UNDER when playing with triple revenge and Philly has taken all three meetings this season. It should be noted though, that New York was 7-3 in this series last season, including playoffs.

Winnipeg at Edmonton
Line: Oilers -135 and 6 OVER -115

Ovechkin might be hot but Oilers captain Connor McDavid is not about to let Ovi have all the fun. McDavid leads the league with 58 points (20 G, 38 A) and he’s just one back of Leafs phenom Auston Matthews (21) in the scoring race. McDavid had two markers in a 2-1 win over the Jets on Thursday, extending the team’s home win streak to five. The Oilers have outscored their opponents 21-8 on home ice during this run.

  • Hot home teams up to -150 that have won six or seven of their past eight are just 22-44 over the past five seasons.
  • Winnipeg is 10-1 this season off a road loss.
  • Coach Paul Maurice’s all-time record with the Jets is 35-13 following a one-goal loss to a division rival.

The Oilers have moved into a tie for first atop the North division and they are playing great hockey both home and abroad. The Jets sit just two points back from Edmonton and are showing a 8-5-1 road record. Winnipeg is 1-2 in Edmonton this year but the offense has struggled in the two losses, scoring a total of just three goals. Winnipeg is eighth in scoring with 3.3 GPG and Edmonton’s defense was considered a weak spot early on, but the Oil have climbed into 16th, allowing an average of 2.9 GPG.

Saturday means a big night on the ice and my NHL picks are hot. Grab tonight’s picks now!

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