Football picksNovember 1, 2021

Week 8 Monday Night: New York Giants vs. Kansas City Chiefs Analysis, Odds, and Predictions

New_York_Giants_vs_Kansas_City_Chiefs
Monday Night: New York Giants vs. Kansas City Chiefs

New York Giants vs. Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

Kansas City, MO – This week’s Monday Night matchup pits one “They are who we thought they were” in the 2-5 New York Giants and one “Who woulda thunk it” 3-4, outside of the Playoffs and looking in Kansas City Chiefs. Okay, I know that last quote is a baseball reference, but I think it fits here. It’s Monday Night Football featuring the New York Giants vs. the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Giants were a question mark even before the season started, and with star RB Saquon Barkley dealing with injuries and a young QB in Daniel Jones, 2-5 may actually have been a bit ambitious two months ago. Barkley has been listed as OUT for this tilt, along with WR Kenny Golladay. Sterling Shepard (WR), though, did log some limited practices this week and will give it a go under the lights on Monday Night.

New York is in the bottom third of the league in both scoring offense and scoring defense with a -9.0 point average differential. And losing safety Jabrill Peppers for the season will not help matters. With Saquon, this offense can score, but they become quite one-dimensional when he’s out. Devontae Booker will look to carry the load in his absence.

The Barkley and Peppers injuries are the biggest names on one of the longer injury reports you will see for one team. I stopped counting at 13 Giants players on IR.

What’s up with the Chiefs? They’ve been teetering on mediocrity all season, and that was all but confirmed in a 27-3 drubbing at the hands of the Tennessee Titans last Sunday. The defense is a known flaw as the 27 points they gave up last week was actually an improvement over their per-game yield (29.0 points per game). The concerning aspect for Chiefs Kingdom is the mere 3 points they scored. This is the high-flying, fast-paced face of the NFL, and they found themselves in a 24-0 hole last week before they even came up for air. This was the second time in three weeks the Cheifs had it handed to them (lost in Week 5 to Buffalo, 38-20).

The Chiefs are still eighth in the league in scoring (26.9 points per game), so last week’s near shutout was likely more of an anomaly than anything else. One of the best offenses + one of the worst defenses = mediocrity. Playing a 1st place schedule isn’t doing the Cheifs any favors this year as it seems the top tier teams (Buffalo and Baltimore, for example) have caught up.

These teams have not met since 2017, a 12-9 OT win for New York, and only have eight meetings in the last 20 years. The Giants are 7-1 ATS vs. Kansas City during that time, and 6-2 straight up. Those games were mostly pre-PMIII (Patrick Mahomes), and the teams are quite different now. Interestingly, though, New York is 8-1 ATS when playing on natural grass over the last three years. Chiefs coach, Andy Reid, though, is also 8-1 ATS on Monday Night as the Kansas City head guy.

Coming off of their blowout loss to the Titans, Kansas City dropped five spots in NFL Power Rankings, from No. 9 to the 14th spot while the Giants jumped three spots, to No. 24 following their blowout win vs. Carolina.

New York Giants vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game and Odds

  • New York Giants (2-5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (3-4)
  • Monday, November 1 – 8:15 pm ET
  • Giants +9.5 (-110) / Chiefs -9.5 (-110) | O/U 52.5

Giants vs. Chiefs Picks and Predictions

Both of the Giants’ wins are impressive. Winning in the NFL 25-3 is never easy, and their other win was vs. New Orleans. Their losses, though, have been mostly bad. They played a couple of close games early in the year, but their other three losses were by a combined 65 points.

The Chiefs lost in that crazy Week 2 game vs. Baltimore and then the next week to a very tough Chargers team, but those losses need to be kept in perspective. KC is at home, and the “need factor” is certainly there for them. Mahomes avoided serious injury last week, and TE Travis Kelce is not on this week’s injury report. With Tyreek Hill still doing what he does, this is a good spot for the home team.

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