Basketball picksMarch 12, 2010

March Madness Picks, Predictions vs the Spread


Momentum and your March Madness Picks & March Madness Predictions

Figuring out momentum is something that you have to do if you want to have a high level of success. Though it’s crazy to think about, there are times when guys play way over their heads in March. Teams put on epic performances and if you’re on the wrong side, it can sink your bankroll. There’s no reason why you have to be on the wrong side, though. If you are sharp, you will give momentum the proper amount of value and you will come away better for it.

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So how does Wundercat value momentum? I obviously like to ride those teams that are playing their best basketball heading into March, but I wouldn’t put too much stock into one loss in a conference tournament. Syracuse is a good example of a team that just got bounced from its conference tournament, but they’re still a good bet heading in the big one. Many bettors will lay off of them, but it might also be true that their small slip-ups down the stretch will bring about value in their lines.

With that being said, don’t make the huge mistake of playing a team that is obviously slumping. One loss might bring value in the line, but a team that’s been losing many games in a row is not one that you need to be backing. Confidence is huge in college basketball and when these teams lose their swagger, they can play a brand of basketball that’s just not pretty.

So what’s the point of all of this? Keep your basketball picks logical, and if you can find a magical wave to ride, do it. Don’t get into the habit of thinking that one bad loss down the stretch dooms a team, though. Momentum is important, but backing solid teams is still the prime directive with March Madness picks.

Posted By : Wunderdog’s Trusty Sidekick ” Wundercat ” .