Here it is, the last one. Your last chance to win big in NFL football until September. It’s all come down to the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers, and if you’ve been following along with these playoffs, this is the way it should be.
You’ve got a team in the 49ers that has come out of the gates pounding in both of their games. On the other side are the Chiefs, who’ve had two bad first quarters, followed by six quarters of greatness.
The Chiefs’ slow starts haven’t hampered them from running the score up in the playoffs. Their bend but don’t break defense has held up well enough to skate past the Texans and Titans with ease.
The Niners have also made it look extremely easy. Jimmy Garoppolo was only forced to pass eight times against the Packers, and the San Francisco defense barely broke a sweat, holding Aaron Rodgers scoreless for the first 30 minutes of the game.
Let’s take a closer look at our betting preview for the big game.
Hail to the Chief
Kansas City’s success in the playoffs can be summed up in two words: Patrick Mahomes. That’s not to put down the rest of the team; only that the NFL hasn’t really seen anything like his past two performances.
Mahomes has nine total touchdowns in the playoffs. He’s completed 65.7% of his passes for 615 yards, has a 131.5 passer rating, and has rushed for 106 yards. Catch him if you can.
Damien Willams, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce have been astoundingly good complements to Mahomes. Even Sammy Watkins is flashing some vintage Watkins highlights in the playoffs. He leads the team with 190 receiving yards in the postseason.
Defensively, it seems like defensive back Daniel Sorensen has been all over the field. He leads the team in tackles and has a forced fumble in the postseason.
San Francisco is back in the Super Bowl after an eight-year absence. After suffering through a couple of rough seasons, GM John Lynch and head coach Kyle Shanahan have returned the Niners to prominence.
Of course, the acquisition of Garoppolo, among others, has helped. The Niners defense is stout, not far off of the Patriots’ regular-season defense, but it’s been their running game that has been winning these playoff games.
In their first playoff win, the 49ers relied on dual-threat back Tevin Coleman. But Coleman went down early on Sunday against the Packers with an elbow injury. Raheem Mostert then completely took the game over, running for 220 yards and an amazing four touchdowns. Garoppolo only had to throw eight passes to secure a 17-point victory. Just as expected, right?
But Did They Cover?
Interestingly enough, these two teams have covered a lot of spreads this season. The Chiefs are the top-ranked team in the NFL at covering, and the Niners come in at third, with 12-5-1 and 11-6-1 records, respectively.
That should make things even more interesting when looking at the spread. The Chiefs are favored by -1.5 right now, with an over/under of 54. So go pick it correctly, maybe right some wrongs from earlier in the season, on your last chance.