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Basketball picksMarch 12, 2010

College Basketball Picks, NCAA Picks & March Madness Picks & Predictions

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College Basketball Picks, NCAA Picks & March Madness Picks & Predictions

They’re just kids playing college basketball!

The Wundercat was recently at a college basketball game when I heard an interesting conversation in the row in front of me. One guy was berating his team’s power forward, talking about how the kid was terrible and how he might as well quit now. “He’s not worth a rat’s tail!” The talk of rats and mice piqued my interest, so I listened more. Another guy responded with a line that resonated with me. “They’re just kids,” he said.

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They’re just kids.

Since I tend to think of everything in terms of how it can help my handicapping, this was really no different. The difference in pro handicapping and college ‘capping is that you’re messing with kids who are young, immature, and impressionable. They have things like classes, girlfriends, grandfathers dying, and the common cold to worry about. While pro players might be able to shoot 1000 shots per day, every day, a college kid doesn’t have that luxury. This pushed me to start thinking about the psychological side of the game a little bit more.

We all know that in college basketball, road teams struggle in a big way. It makes sense, too, because they can get frustrated in a tough environment and this can compound any problems they might already be having. What this means for bettors is that you need to think about properly valuating these things when you do your handicapping.

Don’t forget about how fatigue can really wreck a team. If they are coming into a game with a short turnaround, you might want to give a few points worth of weight to that. Most people don’t consider these things nearly enough. All of the numbers and statistical indicators won’t mean a thing in that particular game if a given team is not going to play like itself. When you understand the psychology of the matter, you can more easily pick out when this is going to happen.

Posted By Wunderdogs’s Trusty Sidekick ” Wundercat ” .