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Football picksOctober 12, 2021

Chargers vs. Ravens Pick, Predictions and Odds, Week 6 NFL

Lamar Jackson leads the Ravens to a 31-25 comeback win over the Colts

LA Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens Preview

What a comeback win for the Ravens on Monday Night Football! Baltimore were facing a 19-point defect with 3:06 left in the 3rd quarter and were able to tie up the game to send it to OT. Ravens got the ball first and came right down the field to score. Lamar was definitely the star of the game putting up some incredible numbers. “It’s one of the greatest performances I’ve ever seen,” Ravens coach John Harbaugh said. Here are some of the historical records Jackson surpassed last night:

  • First quarterback in the league to complete 85% of his passes in a 400-yard game
  • First player in NFL history with 400 yards passing, four touchdown passes, no interceptions and 50 yards rushing
  • Highest completion rate in a 40-pass game in NFL history (86%, 37-of-43)

Jackson started this game with one of his worst first half performances, with the Ravens only able to score three points in the first half. Second half started a bit the same but his fumble at the Colts’ 2-yard line led to Baltimore trailing 22-3 with 3:06 left in the third quarter, which seemed like a unconquerable deficit. After that costly turnover, Jackson threw touchdown passes on his final four drives, hitting Brown and tight end Mark Andrews in the end zone twice. Some worrying signs in the game for the Ravens but to pull of that comeback takes some cajones.

The Chargers are coming off a nice win themselves, beating the Browns 47-42 on Sunday. The game saw one tie and eight lead changes — four in the final 15 minutes when the teams combined for 41 points. The back-and-forth between the two teams was incredible! Justin Herbert had his record 11th 300-yard game with 398 yards passing and tied a career high with four touchdowns. Herbert has the most 300-yard games by any quarterback in their first two years in the league. Austin Eckler also put on a show scoring three fourth-quarter touchdowns, including a 3-yard score with 1:31 remaining for the go-ahead points.

The Chargers defeated Baltimore 23-17 on the road in 2019, the last time these two teams met. Four of the last five games dating back to 2012 between the Chargers and Ravens have been decided by one score. Baltimore leads the all-time series, 7-6. The Ravens have outscored the Chargers by a slim 270-259 margin over those 13 games. The road team is on a five-game ATS win streak. Also the total has gone over in five of the Baltimore’s last six games vs. the Chargers.

Defense should have a solid part to play in this matchup. The Ravens are running the ball like crazy as of late and playing great defense, and those attributes go a long way toward winning games and covering spreads in the NFL. The Chargers, meanwhile, are playing great football but they’re also coming off a big home win and might be ripe for a letdown. The smart money here takes Baltimore and lays the points. Barring any injuries this Week 6 matchup could be one of the best this weekend and although the line opened at Ravens -3.5, it’s already being bought down to -3 at several online sportsbooks.

Chargers vs. Ravens Odds

  • Moneyline: LAC: (+135) | BAL: (-156)
  • Spread: LAC: +3.5 (-110) | BAL: -3.5 (-110)
  • Total: 51.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Chargers vs. Ravens Game Pick

This is not an official pick on the game: The Ravens can run the ball and LA was awful against the run vs. the Browns. Even coming off a short week and a huge win Monday Night, I still lean to the Ravens ATS.