Sports picksJune 3, 2021

Betting Advice for Belmont Stakes, 2021

The final leg of the 2021 Triple Crown is Saturday in New York and I have betting advice for Belmont along with a special race sheet, ready for Friday.

Betting advice for belmont

Winner of the Preakness Stakes, Rombauer will run out of the No. 3 post at Belmont with jockey John Velazquez


Setting the Stage

There is a storyline each year during the Triple Crown that adds to its intrigue. The kind of thing that makes casual May horse racing fans linger until June, before they can begin their next 10 month hiatus. In 2021, the drama that seized everyone’s attention was Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit’s positive drug test following the race. Distinguished trainer, Bob Baffert, initially denied that his horse had any contact with the steroid betamethasone, but then back-peddled admitting that Medina Spirit had in fact been treated with Otomax, an ointment containing the banned substance.

Medina Spirit, along with Concert Tour, another Baffert-trained horse, were allowed to run in the Preakness and finished third and ninth respectively. It helped subside any major controversy that would have erupted, had a horse that was under investigation been in the running for a Triple Crown. Fast-forward to the 2021 Belmont Stakes and Baffert has been banned by the New York Racing Association while the matter from Churchill Downs is settled.

It makes for a more wide open field in this final stage of the Triple Crown. Picture a NFL season where Tom Brady didn’t make the playoffs. Below you’ll find betting advice for Belmont along with the latest odds. It’ll certainly be a race worth watching.

Final Results for Preakness, 2021 (146th running)

Rombauer
Midnight Bourbon
Medina Spirit
Keepmeinmind
Crowded Trade
Unbridled Honor
France Go de Ina
Risk Taking
Concert Tour
Ram

I called the winner in two of the undercard races at the Preakness and will have my top picks for the Belmont Stakes ready for Friday. Pre-order today!

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Belmont Stakes Post Positions, Odds

Post time for the 2021 Belmont Stakes is Saturday, June 5 at 6:49 pm Eastern. The draw for post positions at Belmont was Tuesday at 11 am Eastern and with Medina Spirit out and Rebel’s Romance withdrawn for an infection, the field was whittled down to eight.

Post 1: Bourbonic (15-1)
Post 2: Essential Quality (2-1)
Post 3: Rombauer (3-1)
Post 4: Hot Rod Charlie (7-2)
Post 5: France Go de Ina (30-1)
Post 6: Known Agenda (6-1)
Post 7: Rock Your World (9-2)
Post 8: Overtook (20-1)

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Betting Advice for Belmont

Meet the horses, trainers and jockeys for the 153rd running of the Belmont Stakes. At 1 1/2 miles, the ‘Test of Champions’ is the longest leg of the Triple Crown and carded as the 11th race on Saturday. The forecast is calling for dry conditions, mostly sunny, high of 82.

No. 1: Bourbonic (15-1)
Best Beyer: 89
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

First of all, this jockey sounds like a winner. Kendrick Carmouche? Worth a shot. Seriously, though, Carmouche is making his debut at Belmont and although he’s had decent success lately, winning the the Wood Memorial aboard this horse, Bourbonic isn’t expected to contend here. The No. 1 post has produced 24 winners at Belmont including Justify, the most recent in 2018.

No. 2: Essential Quality (2-1)
Best Beyer: 100
Trainer: Brad Cox
Jockey: Luis Saez

The early favorite, Essential Quality’s first-ever loss was at the Kentucky Derby. The extended distance will be to his advantage and the No. 2 slot has hit 12 winners all-time, including Tapwrit in 2017. Saez was aboard for the Derby (4th), and has ranked Top 5 in total wins across the U.S. each of the past two years.

No. 3: Rombauer (3-1)
Best Beyer: 102
Trainer: Michael McCarthy
Jockey: John Velazquez

Preakness winner, Rombauer will attract big money at Belmont. Velazquez has ridden the Belmont Stakes 24 times, winning in 2007 with Rags to Riches, and 2012 aboard Union Rags. Still on the upswing, Rombauer will contend.

No. 4: Hot Rod Charlie (7-2)
Best Beyer: 100
Trainer: Doug O’Neill
Jockey: Flavien Prat

A longer distance at the Derby could have played to Chuck’s advantage. Strategy to rest through Preakness for this event will pay off. No. 4 has seen 10 winners but it has been 12 years since the latest. Prat was aboard Rombauer for the win at Pimlico. He technically has a win at the Derby to his credit in 2019, too, benefitting from a disqualification.

No. 5: France Go de Ina (30-1)
Best Beyer: 77
Trainer: Hideyuki Mori
Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.

The odds fit here. Finished seventh at the Preakness and didn’t really contend. Santana, Jr. has two previous rides at Belmont and his best finish was fourth in 2018 (Pneumatic). No. 5 slot is a big winner with 15 all-time, including American Pharoah in 2015.

No. 6: Known Agenda (6-1)
Best Beyer: 94
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.

Pletcher’s second horse, and probably his best shot here. The smaller field will help, as will the pace. Good odds right now and expert betting advice for Belmont says that this horse is worth a long look.

No. 7: Rock Your World (9-2)
Best Beyer: 100
Trainer: John Sadler
Jockey: Joel Rosario

Built for this race and attracting early money. Two-time stakes winner will look for a fair start and good pace. The No. 7 slot won here in 2019 (Sir Winston) with Rosario aboard. Rosario also won the Belmont Stakes with Tonalist in 2014 and has nine rides here all-time. Jockey also has a Derby win in 2013 and is comfortable running out front.

No. 8: Overtook (20-1)
Best Beyer: 84
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Manny Franco

Pletcher’s monopoly on this field is complete with Overtook, son of Curlin, who finished second here in 2007. Considered a potential ‘Show’ horse, Tiz the Law finished first out of the 8-post in 2020. The jockey aboard Tiz the Law in 2020, none other than Manny Franco.

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