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August 2021

Football picksAugust 30, 2021

NFL betting trends for the Ravens, Chargers, Saints, Giants and Washington that you can bank on throughout the 2021 season. Plus, updated regular season win total odds.

NFL betting trends for the Los Angeles chargers and justin herbert

Justin Herbert showed off a cannon arm in his rookie season, throwing 31 TD passes and averaging 289 passing yards per game

NFL Betting Trends for the Ravens

The Ravens are one of three NFL teams this season favored to win its division at plus-money. The other two are Dallas and San Francisco, and it’s a testament to how tightly packed the competition is at the top of the AFC North. RB JK Dobbins injured his left knee in Week 3 of the preseason and after an MRI, the team confirmed a torn ACL. Dobbins will miss the 2021 season, making Gus Edwards the RB1. With Mark Ingram gone (Texans), the depth at running back is a concern. As a rookie, Dobbins led all RBs in 2020 with 6.0 yards per attempt.

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 10.5 OV -140
Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 11 OV -125
2020 Record: 11-5
Average Wins 2018-20: 11.7
Odds to win the Division: +120 (1st place)
Net Strength of Schedule: 10th most difficult

Baltimore reshuffled the deck with its offensive line this offseason and it could take time for the unit to gel. We’re seeing their team total anywhere from 10.5 OVER (-140) up to 11.5 UNDER (-140), which presents a big ‘middle’ opportunity for anyone that pegs this team to go 11-6 SU.

Baltimore opens the season on Monday Night Football in Las Vegas. The current line is Ravens -4.5. Check the latest Week 1 NFL odds at my site.

  • HC John Harbaugh’s regular season road record since 2017 is 23-7 ATS (77%).
  • HC Harbaugh’s record vs. the AFC West is 17-9 OVER (65%).

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Los Angeles Chargers Trending up in Herbert’s Sophomore Season

Upticks on the Chargers’ win total clearly indicates how the NFL betting market feels about Justin Herbert’s offense. After a dazzling rookie season, Herbert set the bar high and like the Broncos and Raiders, Los Angeles knows it’ll take a lot to dethrone the Kansas City Chiefs. A 9-8 record this year is reasonable but with a rookie head coach, 10 straight up wins will be a stretch.

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 9.5 UN -115
Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 9 UN -115
2020 Record: 7-9
Average Wins 2018-20: 8
Odds to win the Division: +430 (2nd place)
Net Strength of Schedule: 10th easiest

The Chargers’ average Over/Under odds in 2020 was 47.9 points. Their current total for Week 1 in Washington is 44.5 and the first half total is 21.5. In Herbert’s first year, he was 6-2 OVER (75%) on the road but note this first half trend suggesting potential value on the UNDER.

  • When the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5, the UNDER is 56-25 (69%) during the past 10 seasons for any team that had a win percentage between .400 and .499 the previous season.

The Chargers won four-straight times to finish the 2020 season, going 4-0 ATS.

  • In Week 1, non-divisional teams that finished the previous regular season on a hot streak are 49-28 UNDER (64%).

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Post-Brees Era Begins for the Saints

First-ballot Hall of Famer Drew Brees has left the building. Jameis Winston, infamous for his 33 touchdown, 30 interception season that capped a five-year stint with the Bucs (2019), takes over the No. 1 spot after a QB battle with Taysom Hill. Winston looked good in a preseason win over the Jags, going nine for 10 with 123 yards and two TDs, but he attempted just 12 passes all of last year. I need to see what kind of progress he’s made in terms of decision making, before boosting his QB rating to anything greater than ‘average’.

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 9.5 UN -160
Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 9 OV -110
2020 Record: 12-4
Average Wins 2018-20: 12.7
Odds to win the Division: +430 (2nd place)
Net Strength of Schedule: 8th most difficult

Pro Football Focus ranks the Saints O-Line at 4th overall entering the 2021 season. Led by RB Alvin Kamara, they also have one of most potent offensive weapons in football. Kamara was third in the league last year with 1,688 yards from scrimmage, and first overall with 21 TDs.

It’s worth noting that WR Michael Thomas will miss the first 1-2 months of the season recovering from ankle surgery. Marquez Callaway is the name to look out for in the early going. The second-year WR out of Tennessee was third in routes-run last year when Thomas was out. Emmanuel Sanders was second and he’s gone to Buffalo. Tre’Quan Smith was the leader but it was Callaway that hauled in both of Winston’s TD passes against the Jags. The two of them have developed chemistry and HC Sean Payton is well aware of it.

As part of the new 17-game schedule, teams will now play five inter-conference games per season instead of four. That suits HC Payton just fine.

  • Including his Super Bowl win over the Colts, Payton’s record vs. the AFC since 2008 is 30-19 ATS (61%).

Keep an eye out for tightly lined games involving the Saints this season. No Brees means fewer lopsided spreads for this group and they’ve produced a solid record against close competition.

  • The Saints are 67-46 ATS (59%) in games where the line is within 3.5 points of Pick em.

Give yourself the best chance to win this season with NFL picks from an expert sports handicapper!

NFL Betting Trends for the New York Giants

Along with NFL betting trends, I’m tracking futures betting odds for you throughout the summer. For preseason power rankings and Super Bowl odds, visit my NFL Team Previews HQ!

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 7.5 UN -150
Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 7 OV -110
2020 Record: 6-10
Average Wins 2018-20: 5
Odds to win the Division: +400 (3rd place)
Net Strength of Schedule: 14th most difficult

Other than throwing a couple of nice looking bombs, QB Daniel Jones has done little to inspire confidence during his 26 NFL starts. He has had to deal with a lot of injuries to playmakers, and WR Kenny Golladay, who inked a $72 million deal with New York this offseason, is already dealing with a hamstring.

QB Saquon Barkley (knee) practiced last week and should be ready to play at some point in September, but he is running behind an O-Line that’s dead last in the PFF rankings. Match that with New York’s 2nd toughest strength of schedule for running backs, and it’s difficult picturing the Giants as an eight-win team.

In 2020, Jones was pressured fourth-most times per game among all NFL QBs.

  • In home games where Jones was sacked more than twice, he is 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS.

The Giants open the season against the Denver Broncos, whose defense didn’t allow a single touchdown during the preseason. There are few holes in the Broncos D and this betting line has already moved from Pick em to Broncos -1.5 points.

The following NFL betting trends apply to both sides and totals.

  • Since 2010, the Giants home record in games where the line is within +/-3 points of Pick em is 10-19 ATS (35%).
  • During those 29 games, New York played 10 overs and 19 unders, a 65% hit-rate for UNDER bettors.

Note that the current streak for unders in this trend is 8-straight, dating back to 2018. As of today, the total on this contest is 42.5 points.

Defense Rules for Washington Football Team

Ryan Fitzpatrick joins Washington and his aggressive, nothing to lose, style of play will inject Ron Rivera’s offense with the energy it often lacked in 2020. But make no mistake, defense is now the cornerstone of this franchise. Chase Young earned Defensive Rookie of the Year honors and along with Jonathan Allen, Daron Payne and Montez Sweat, this unit is ready to take it to the next level.

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 8.5 OV -120
Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 8 OV -135
2020 Record: 7-9
Average Wins 2018-20: 5.7
Odds to win the Division: +220 (2nd place)
Net Strength of Schedule: 6th most difficult

Matchups against Buffalo, Green Bay and Denver – all three away from home – make for an incredibly difficult first half of the season for Washington. QB Fitzpatrick’s return to Ralph Wilson will be an awesome start to Week 3’s Sunday lineup, and as the starter, Fitz has a 20-14-2 ATS (59%) record in non-conference play.

  • Washington’s September home record since 1989 is 20-36 ATS (36%).

That’s the worst overall ATS win percentage for the opening month of the season during that time. Some NFL betting trends are meant to be broken, and Washington did win its home opener vs. the Eagles last year, but they followed it with five consecutive straight up losses.

  • Fitzpatrick’s September home record tilts to the high side at 11-4 OVER (73%).

Here is a scenario that will be live four times in 2021. Games are listed below.

  • Washington’s non-divisional road record off a home game is 17-11 ATS (61%).

Week 4 at Buffalo: Line opened at Bills -6; currently Bills -7

Week 7 at Green Bay: Opener was Packers -6.5; current line is Packers -4

Week 11 at Carolina: Opening line was Washington -.5; currently Panthers -1

Week 13 at Las Vegas: Opener was Washington -.5; current = Raiders -2.5

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Football picksAugust 22, 2021

The latest addition to my NFL offseason football betting series looks at ranking the NFC West teams from top to bottom. Updated win totals, futures, trends and analysis for the Cardinals, 49ers, Rams and Seahawks.

ranking NFC West teams for NFL 2021 season

The Rams are a near unanimous choice for top spot when ranking NFC West teams, but the 49ers are climbing the charts

Ranking NFC West Teams for 2021

One thing about ranking NFC West teams for the start of the 2021 season is that you don’t have to go very far down the NFL power ranking charts. Based on the average of five reputable sports betting websites, not one of these contenders ranked lower than 13th overall.

Power rankings will fluctuate as the season goes on. Looking at rankings now compared to Week 8 or 16 will offer a much different landscape. And ranking NFC West teams based on their odds to win the Super Bowl will offer the same volatility.

Below, you’ll find the current season win total odds, plus odds to win the division and a host of NFL trends. Ranking NFC West teams ahead of Week 1 should serve as a good indicator of how the oddsmakers will set the line when all four head into battle for Week 4.

Week 4 NFC West matchups include the Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers. Current lines favor the Rams (-4.5) and 49ers (-3.5) points.

Give yourself the best chance to win this NFL season with picks from an expert sports handicapper! My NFL picks are up +$121,580 in the past six years with five winning seasons out of six (83%).


No. 1: Los Angeles Rams

I’m tracking NFL offseason betting odds for you throughout the summer. Every time a new team preview is added or the futures market takes a significant swing, I’ll post on social media and you can stay up to date as we countdown to kickoff.

For preseason power rankings and Super Bowl odds, visit my NFL Team Previews HQ!

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 9.5 OV -115
Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 10.5 UN -150
2020 Record: 10-6
Average Wins 2018-20: 10.7
Odds to win the Division: +195 (2nd place)
Net Strength of Schedule: T-9th most difficult  

QB Matthew Stafford joins the Rams off a 4,084-yard passing year in which he threw 26 TDs to just 10 interceptions. Synonymous with garbage time touchdowns and thrilling comebacks, Stafford’s 10 picks ties a career low for him amongst the nine seasons where he played 16 games.

HC Sean McVey isn’t giving us a glimpse of his new arm talent during the preseason but everyone knows what to expect. Stafford is a tough, smart quarterback that has been around long enough to know what kind of opportunity is in front of him. He did injure his thumb in training camp but results were negative. Other than staying healthy, the goal now is to win a playoff game (or four), something Stafford has failed to do in three attempts.

The Rams run game sustained a big hit when second-year RB Cam Akers suffered a torn Achilles just before camp. Akers led the team last year with 625 rushing yards but he’ll miss the season and Darrell Henderson (2nd with 624 yards), will look to fill the void. Depth is a concern but McVey doesn’t seem interested in the veteran backs still on the market.

This is Stafford’s time to shine and he’ll be tasked with elevating the passing game to levels that former Rams QB Jared Goff was unable to reach. Los Angeles has the O-Line, ranked 9th by Pro Football Focus, and they have Aaron Donald on D. There is great potential for a playoff run but divisional games will be a test, not to mention the Week 3 meeting with the Bucs and Week 12 trip to Green Bay.

Los Angeles Rams Trends

In four years with the Rams, HC McVay has posted a winning record straight up all four seasons. From 2017-2020, he was 32-16 SU against the NFC.

  • The past two years, McVey’s record season conference record is 16-8 ATS (67%).

Got Football? Stay on top of the NFL all season with Consensus data and free picks!

Watch for this high-percentage Over/Under angle in the second half of the season.

  • From Week 9 out, McVey and the Rams are 11-4 OVER (73%) when facing a team that scored more than 20 points last week, and the Rams also scored more than 20 points last week.

With a high average total of 47 points per game, the Rams have been an UNDER bettor’s best friend when laying points.

  • Since 2019, Los Angeles has a 18-4 UNDER (88%) when favored.

No. 2: Seattle Seahawks

When ranking the NFC West, the Seahawks are only second by a hair over the Niners and with three road games in the first four weeks, this could change in a hurry. Seattle opens at Indianapolis, where the new improved O-Line will get its first test against a Colts’ pass rush that was 11th in sack percentage, but below average in most other pass defense metrics.

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 9.5 OV -170
Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 9.5 OV -135
2020 Record: 12-4
Average Wins 2018-20: 11
Odds to win the Division: +260 (3rd place)
Net Strength of Schedule: 7th most difficult  

Seattle’s new O-Co Shane Waldron spend the past four seasons with the Rams. He has a good mind for the passing game and if Waldron can develop chemistry with Russell Wilson, this offense will look a lot more like the one that averaged 298 passing yards per game in the first half of 2020. Not the one that sunk to 189 yards per game in the second half.

Seattle Seahawks Trends

Here is an early-season trend worth monitoring. The Seahawks open on the road at Indianapolis and then travel again in Week 3 to Minnesota. They are currently listed as small underdogs for each contest.

  • HC Pete Carroll’s road record in the month of September is 5-13 ATS (28%).

This contrarian angle has created a massive ROI for UNDER bettors through the years.

  • When coming off a home win, the Seahawks are 23-6 UNDER (79%) in divisional road games.

On the flip side, it’s time to pound the OVER when this situation arises:

  • Seattle’s non-divisional road record when getting points off a win is 31-6 OVER (84%).

For updated Super Bowl odds, visit my NFL Team Previews HQ!

No. 3: San Francisco 49ers

How much weight can bettors place on D-Co Robert Saleh’s departure to New York? During Saleh’s tenure, San Francisco’s defensive ranking went from 24th, to 13th and then second overall in 2019.

San Francisco has the talent and coaching to overcome the loss of Saleh. The more important thing for this Niners team in 2021 will be the ability to stay healthy. Injuries last year to Nick Bosa, Richard Sherman, Dee Ford and Solomon Thomas amongst others, only set the unit back to fifth in total yards, which is a statement in itself.

The 49ers withstood 166.6 adjusted games lost in 2021, most in the NFL by a mile and more than double the league average.

In 2021, the Niners’ roster was ravaged by injuries to key positions on both sides of the football. Offensively, the team lost 78.7 games (3rd most) and not one position was immune to the injury bug. To shore up the offensive line, the Niners extended LT Trent Williams with a six-year mega deal worth $138 million. It makes Williams the highest-paid O-Lineman in the NFL, and solidifies San Fran’s spot inside the Top 10 rankings at PFF. Center Alex Mack was lured from Atlanta, as well, where he spent time with HC Kyle Shanahan.

Coach Shanahan has a decision to make between incumbent starter Jimmy Garoppolo and first round draft pick, Trey Lance. Each has looked good in camp and there is a strong chance that both will see action throughout the season, but Shanahan isn’t tipping his hand towards the Week 1 starter just yet.

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 10.5 UN -130
Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 10.5 UN -150
2020 Record: 6-10
Average Wins 2018-20: 7.7
Odds to win the Division: +190 (1st place)
Net Strength of Schedule: 6th easiest

San Francisco 49ers Trends

San Francisco is projected as the favorite in more than 10 games this season. Conference favorites off a losing season are a general fade, covering just 39% of all games the past 30 years, but note this team-specific trend for the Niners.

  • The 49ers are 16-7 OVER (70%) in games as a conference favorite since 2010 that followed a losing season.
  • Kyle Shanahan has been in this situation 14 times, going 11-3 OVER (79%). That includes a 8-1 OVER (89%) record at home.

The Niners are slated for just one Monday Night Football game in 2021, and it’s a big one. Week 10, they’ll host the Rams in a big divisional game.

  • Since 1989, the 49ers are 20-6 SU and 18-7-1 ATS (72%) at home under the Monday night lights.

The current line in this game is 49ers (-3). In the past two seasons, San Francisco is 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. the Rams, with the UNDER going 3-1.

  • Since 2003, San Francisco is 11-7 ATS (61%) at home vs. the Rams, the UNDER going 12-6 (67%).

No. 4: Arizona Cardinals

Track NFL season win total odds from opening lines to current prices!

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 8.5 OV -110
Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 8 OV -110
2020 Record: 8-8
Average Wins 2018-20: 5.3
Odds to win the Division: +620 (4th place)
Net Strength of Schedule: 11th most difficult  

Has any team slipped further down the NFL power ranking charts than the Arizona Cardinals? Arizona does have some tough matchups in the first-half, but they are either dogs or laying less than -3 in every game through Week 6. There could be a couple value spots for side bettors, and Arizona made a couple nice acquisitions, but these aren’t spring chickens.

WR A.J. Green and RB James Conner join an offense that led the NFL last year in pace and ranked third with 68 plays per game (Chargers, Cowboys). Arizona drafted WR Rondale Moore, who displayed versatility during a NFLX loss to Kansas City, rushing for nine yards, catching three balls and returning a kickoff. The offense just needs to figure out how to convert possessions into points.

HC Kliff Kingsbury is thought to be on a hot seat this year but when every pundit is calling for your team to finish last in the division, there really isn’t much pressure. Under Kingsbury, the Cards went from five wins in 2019 up to eight in 2020. QB Kyler Murray is a talent but betting on him to take a major step forward in this division is a high risk. ATS covers, sure, but the Cards are looking like another 8-8 team this year.

Arizona Cardinals Trends

Arizona averaged 1.3 giveaways per game in 2020, slightly worse than the league average and a step back from 2019 (1.1). This is an area that QB Murray could improve upon in his third season and if so, you’ll want to circle the Cards at home.

  • Arizona is 36-19 ATS (71%) on home turf following back-to-back games in which they won the turnover battle.
  • As an underdog of less than +3 points or more than +7 points, QB Murray is 9-3 ATS (75%).

Arizona is slated for one, two or three indoor road games this season, depending how you want to classify SoFi Stadium (Week 4) and Dallas Cowboys Stadium (Wee 17). The third site is Week 15 at Detroit.

  • Arizona’s recent record in domed road games is 5-14 ATS (26%).  

After losing nine-straight eastern time zone road games against the spread (2015-18), QB Murray and the Cards have turned the corner.

  • Since 2019, HC Kingsbury has compiled a 6-2 ATS road record in the ETZ.

Ranking NFC West Teams: Bottom Line

Thanks to an easier strength of schedule, San Francisco is moving up the ranks across the NFL betting landscape. The likelihood that any team could get hit with injuries as hard as the Niners did in 2020 is super low, but the Rams and Seahawks aren’t sitting around hoping waiting to find out.

Los Angeles is still the clear cut leader of this division. While their strength of schedule is more difficult than that of the Niners, it has a good flow to it. The fact that a Week 11 bye separates two road games vs. San Francisco at Green Bay is a bonus. The most difficult spot is Week 16-17, when they play back-to-back road games at Minnesota and Baltimore, sandwiched between three divisional matchups. Ouch! Stafford will have to be big and the D is under a great deal of pressure to live up to last year’s high standard, but this isn’t a prediction for how the season will end, it’s a ranking for how it starts.

Seattle’s O-Line was in need of improvements and got them, but keep an eye on the Duane Brown situation. There are a lot of ‘if’s’ surrounding this offense after last year’s implosion, and not a lot of favorable matchups. If the secondary falters, Seattle stands to suffer the biggest decline in 2021.

Along with the players mentioned above, J.J. Watt and Rodney Hudson will help make the Cardinals competitive each week. But a 4-19 SU record the past three years vs. teams that are .500 or better is not going to cut it in the West. Arizona’s final three games are against the Colts, Cowboys and Seahawks. With an entire season to scout the Cardinals first, you’d be better off flat-betting those three games individually than investing long in a future and hoping for the best.

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Football picksAugust 9, 2021

The Vikings 2020 season was a rollercoaster ride, starting 1-5 before the bye week. They then went 6-4 to finish the year 7-9, tying head coach Mike Zimmer’s worst record from his first year with the team (2014). Can the 2021 Vikings overcome last year’s injury bug and lackluster defense?

Vikings Defense dance and pose after forcing a turnover

Vikings look to take the North

Minnesota and their fans are looking wipe last year’s disappointing season from memory, and set their sights once again on the Lombardi trophy. The NFC North is always a tough division and this year will be no different. From Aaron Rodgers staying in Green Bay this season, Goff getting traded to the Lions, and the Bears drafting Ohio State’s Justin Fields, the Vikings are gonna have a lot to deal with defensively. Head Coach Mike Zimmer has always had good defensive teams, with the Vikings usually ranking in the Top-10 for points and yards allowed per game. 

Vikings ranked 29th in points allowed and 27th in yards allowed in 2020.

Can the Vikings shake last year’s poor defense? Or has the Zimmer magic faded out? One thing is for certain, the Vikings are focusing on that side of the ball. Adding longtime Cardinal Patrick Peterson should help solidify the back and bring some veteran leadership to the defensive backfield. Also Adding Dalvin Tomlinson will bring some depth to a traditionally tough defensive line. 

As stated before Mike Zimmer is the one who runs the defense, taking over play-calling duties in 2014. Returning players like Harrison Smith and Danielle Hunter have anchored this defensive, along with Eric Kendricks who is the overall 3rd ranked Linebacker by Pro Football Focus. Michael Pierce was added in free agency to sure up a defensive line that allowed 19 rushing touchdowns in 2020, 8th most in Vikings history. The Vikings recorded zero touchdowns on returns of any kind (fumble recovery, interception, kick return, punt return, punt block). It was the first time that Minnesota hasn’t scored at least one touchdown on a return since 2000.

“First you learn how to compete. Then you learn how to win. Then you learn how to handle winning. And then you learn how to be a champion.” – Mike Zimmer

The focus of last season’s 7-9 record was their terrible defensive play but the offense was a spark that kept the Vikings afloat. Last season Minnesota scored 430 points which ranks 3rd most in Vikings history. Led by quarterback Kirk Cousins and dynamic running back Dalvin Cook, the Vikings offense scored 55 touchdowns, which ranks second behind the 1998 squad who scored 58. Minnesota scored 35 of those touchdowns through the air, with Cousins setting a new career high, and finished with the 2nd most passing TD’s in Viking history. 

Wide receiving duo Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson should continue their dominance, along with Irv Smith replacing longtime tight-end Kyle Rudolph. Minnesota also upgraded their defensive line, which had struggled in giving Cousins time and keeping him upright. The Viks added two O-lineman in the draft, Christian Darrisaw (First Round) and Wyatt Davis (Third Round) to help out this sub-par line. Pro Football Focus ranks the Vikings O-line as the most improved unit after the 2021 Draft. 

Give yourself the best chance to win this NFL season with picks from an expert sports handicapper. My NFL Max Plays are 112-76 (60%) over the past five seasons, banking +$44,830 for dime bettors! Early bird packages are now available.


Minnesota Vikings Odds

I’m tracking NFL offseason betting odds for you throughout the summer. Every time a new team preview is added or the futures market takes a significant swing, I’ll post on social media and you can stay up to date as we countdown to kickoff.

For preseason power rankings and Super Bowl odds, visit my NFL Team Previews HQ!

2021 NFL Season Win Total Odds: 8.5 OVER -160

Pre-draft NFL Win Total Odds: 9 OVER +125 / UNDER -152

2020 Record: 7-9

Average Wins 2014-20: 9.14 (so about 9 wins per year since Zimmer took over)

Odds to win the Division: +240 (finish 2nd place)

Net Strength of Schedule: 4th toughest schedule 

Vikings are projected to finish 2nd in the NFC North behind Green Bay (-125). The Bears despite making the playoffs last season are +325 to win the division with the Lions coming in at +2200. The schedule isn’t going to be easy but if Green Bay’s disfunction leaks on the the field that could open a chance for the Viks to take the North.

  • The Vikings take on the Packers in Week 11 (Home) and Week 17 (Away)

With a tough 2021 schedule the Vikings path to the playoffs will be full of tough games. They open the season with a trip to the Cincinnati to take on the Bengals and have road visits to the Cardinals (Week 2), the Ravens (Week 9), and the Chargers (Week 10). The Viks also host the Seahawks (Week 3), the Browns (Week 4) and the Steelers (Week 14) which all could be tough games. 

  • The Vikings are 31-22 (70%) vs the AFC North in their history 

The Vikings have two Sunday Night Football game, one in their Week 8 meeting with the Cowboys and one with the Packers in Week 17 that could decide the fate of the division. Another game to watch out for is Week 3 against the Seahawks who the Viks have lost 7 straight games to. Minnesota has one Monday Night Football game in Week 15 where they travel to Chicago to take on the Bears.

Minnesota Vikings Trends

Kirk Cousins has been known as a good quarterback but has struggled in primetime games. 

  • 9-18 ATS in Primetime games, though last year he was 2-0 in those games

The Vikings have some tough home games this season and if they are a home dog look for this trend to apply

  • The Vikings are 17-5 ATS (3.41 ppg) since Sep 25, 2011 as a home dog.

The Vikings have played very well since moving to their new home stadium going 26-14 (53%) since 2016. 

  • The Vikings are 12-5 OU (5.09 ppg) since Oct 13, 2019 as a favorite.

Since 2015, my pro and college football picks have combined for a +$246,440 return on bankroll, and I am looking forward to another profitable season. Get my NFL + College Football season packages now!