October 2017


Football picksOctober 30, 2017

NFL Sunday Night Football Week 9 Preview

NFL Sunday Night Football Week 9 Preview NFL Sunday Night Football Week 9 Preview

Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins

Sunday, Nov. 5, 8:30 p.m. (ET) NBC

NFL Pointspread: Oakland -2.5

Total Line: 43.5

Oakland at Miami Game Matchup Overview

The Raiders are letting this season slip away after winning 11 games in 2016 with just one victory either straight-up or against the spread in their last six outings. Following an encouraging 31-30 upset against Kansas City on Oct. 19 as a three-point home underdog, Oakland tanked on the road at Buffalo this past Sunday in a 34-14 loss as a 1.5-point underdog. The total went OVER closing line in both of those games.

Derek Carr threw for 313 yards against the Bills, but he only posted one passing touchdown against two interceptions. The offense also gave up a 40-yard return for a score on a fumble. All told, the Raiders turned the ball over four times in a very sloppy loss. Oakland is now 20th in the NFL in yards per game and 19th in scoring with an average of 21.1 points per game. Defensively, it has fallen to 23rd in points allowed (23.8) and 25th in yards allowed (356.9).

Miami is coming off its worst performance of the season in last Thursday’s 40-0 loss to Baltimore as a three-point road underdog. This snapped a SU three-game winning streak to move the Dolphins to 4-3 on the year with a 3-3-1 record ATS. The total has gone OVER closing line in their last two contests after it has stayed UNDER in the first five games this year.

The Dolphins had to turn to Matt Moore last week for an injured Jay Cutler and the result of that game speaks for itself. Overall this offense is dead last in the league in scoring with an average of 13.1 points per game. It is also at the bottom of the list in total yards gained with just 252.4 a game. To make matters even worse, this unit has been equally as bad throwing the ball as it has been running it. The only hope for a reversal of fortunes at home this Sunday night is probably a defense that is seventh in the NFL in yards allowed.



Football picksOctober 30, 2017

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Game Matchup Overview

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Game Matchup OverviewNFL Week 9 Thursday Night Preview

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets 

Thursday, Nov. 2, 8:25 p.m. (ET) NFL Network

NFL Pointspread: Buffalo -3.5

Total Line: 42 

Buffalo at New York Game Matchup

The Bills moved to 5-2 straight-up on the year following Sunday’s impressive 34-14 victory at home against Oakland as slight 1.5-point favorites on closing line. This boosted their record against the spread to 4-1-2 and the total has gone OVER in three of their last five games. Buffalo is just a half game in back of New England in the AFC East as one of the more surprising teams this season. It has gone 2-0-1 ATS closing as a favorite this year.

Buffalo’s offense is ranked 25th in the NFL in total yards per game, but it jumps to 15th in scoring with an average of 21.9 points per game. Fueled by LeSean McCoy and a ground game that is ranked ninth in yards per game (124.6), the Bills rolled up 166 rushing yards on 37 carries in Sunday’s win. McCoy did most of the damage with 151 yards rushing and a score. Buffalo’s defense is now third in the league in points allowed (16.4).

The Jets have played better than their SU 3-5 record, but the tough losses keep piling up following a promising 3-2 start. They have lost their last three games to New England at home, Miami on the road and Atlanta at home by a combined 15 points. New York is a profitable 5-2-1 ATS and the total has gone OVER in three of its last five games.

Josh McCown continues to run the Jets’ offense as the starting quarterback and in last Sunday’s five-point loss to Atlanta as 6.5-point home underdogs he completed 26 of his 33 passing attempts for 257 yards and two score against zero interceptions. New York only managed to gain 43 yards on the ground as part of a rushing offense that is 23rd in the league with 95.8 yards per game. New York’s defense is 26th in the NFL in total yards allowed and 22nd in points allowed (23.2).